20131011 Moving Average Breadth

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20131011 Moving Average Breadth

Another wild week for the markets as the Shutdown headlines started whipping the markets around a little more.  The thing that stood out to me was other than the one big down day the bulls were holding up well.  I also continued to pound the table here that the structure was not deteriorating enough for me to worry.  Sure, the short term moving average readings were losing ground, but most of the 200sma readings were holding strong near or over 80.  As I have stated before when the short term averages get weak and the longer reading stays strong you buy on the reversal.  We got those this week.  Like all signals, this one doesn’t work every time, but so far this year it has been rock solid.  Industrials was a picture perfect scene this week with the 20sma below 20%, 50sma below 50% and 200sma holding strong over 70%.  That was a sign to look for a reversal and we got it. The Universe chart readings were very close to this signal, so it wasn’t just Industrials.

I am also expanding how I use the universe this week.  the first post on the subject can be found here.  This will consist of various charts using the universe in an attempt to cut out the noise in the NYSE.

I will continue to post both the $SPY and custom index for a few weeks, but will probably drop the $SPY version eventually.

First, the Total universe of 1898 companies posted over the $SPY

10-11-2013 Total Universe with SPY

Universe Composite Index

10-11-2013 Universe

Next I split the universe into 10 custom broad sector indexes

10-11-2013 Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Discretionary (325)

10-11-2013 Consumer Staples

Consumer Staples (91)

10-11-2013 Energy

Energy (132)

10-12-2013 Financials

Financials (316)

10-11-2013 Health Care

Health Care (199)

10-11-2013 Industrials

Industrials (252)

10-11-2013 Materials

Materials (148)

10-11-2013 Technology

Technology (338)

10-11-2013 Telecom

Telecom (24)

10-11-2013 Utilities

Utilities (73)

These are custom indexes so you cannot invest directly in them, but there are plenty of ETFs available for each sector.  For me personally this is another form of relative strength, just with a broader lens .

Good Luck!  It is there for you to make.

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(All market data above are derived from Stockcharts.com, Esignal, and Reutersdatalink)
The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy.  Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation by us of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. I or my affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned in the blog.  Full Disclaimer
There is no guarantee that the views expressed in this communication will become reality,  Investing in the stock market involves risk and potential loss of principal, Investment strategies should be thoroughly researched and understood before implementing and none of this should be construed as a recommendation

About Author

Tommy

is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and Certified Financial Planner (CFPr) in Greensboro Georgia (Outside Atlanta). Founding partner of Barber Lackey Financial Group, LLC, a Registered Investment Advisor. However, this blog is not affiliated with BLFG and does not make recommendations to buy sell or hold any securities.

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